Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.238187 0.274946 0.315284 0.362807 0.417237 0.477607 0.549623
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.190563 0.240866 0.300991 0.378038 0.474043 0.589630 0.739275
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.149812 0.205848 0.278283 0.378509 0.513330 0.688133 0.931729
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.119147 0.176961 0.257336 0.376736 0.549069 0.788199 1.144591
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.096616 0.154304 0.240120 0.376277 0.585991 0.895699 1.386542
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.080038 0.136797 0.226724 0.378392 0.626448 1.014400 1.664908
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.068526 0.124766 0.219251 0.387884 0.679405 1.160017 2.008648
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.057508 0.111187 0.206516 0.386003 0.712896 1.279132 2.328466
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050264 0.102790 0.201021 0.395393 0.766907 1.440464 2.745471
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.042570 0.091896 0.188850 0.390060 0.792817 1.555469 3.096968
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.037490 0.085151 0.183305 0.396289 0.841362 1.718900 3.563596
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.031749 0.075793 0.170728 0.385874 0.854671 1.815905 3.914711
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028729 0.071946 0.169257 0.399149 0.920468 2.029976 4.541422
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026208 0.068740 0.168630 0.414239 0.992931 2.269249 5.259439
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023026 0.063240 0.161723 0.413662 1.030163 2.438534 5.851805
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020199 0.058022 0.154499 0.410993 1.062072 2.600824 6.453938
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017864 0.053597 0.148405 0.409998 1.097866 2.777483 7.117161
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015981 0.050008 0.143786 0.411957 1.141433 2.979223 7.872051
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014656 0.047743 0.142292 0.422030 1.207845 3.247087 8.832345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013050 0.044261 0.136742 0.419830 1.240986 3.435687 9.618455
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012037 0.042411 0.135545 0.429907 1.309893 3.727730 10.721092
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010675 0.039103 0.129358 0.424051 1.332353 3.898747 11.522170
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009808 0.037273 0.127381 0.430754 1.393066 4.184361 12.685470